Circling the Fence part III (or how do I avoid showing my obvious pro-Obama bias)

Based on the margins that Joe is showing, I think we should revisit our Obama can't win Latinos argument. Perhaps, it's more of the same for Obama. His key groups have been African-Americans (which he wins across the board age wise) and younger voters. One key stat that I don't think any of us have seen (mainly because the exit poll tabs for the public are pretty simple) is what has been the median age of the Latino in most states. If the median age of Latino voters has been 45 or higher in most states, I have a strong suspicion that we may have our answer. If it's below 40, Obama does have a problem among Latinos at the moment. However, one thing has become clear in this campaign. The more Obama campaigns in a state the better he does. Given how slow the primary season becomes, this works to his advantage.

Like I said in an earlier post, we'll know how strong Obama is after March 4. Hillary's problem is that she needed to weather the storm between February 5th and March 4th. The early results have been Obama +37 in Washington, + 18 in Maine, + 21 in Louisiana, and +36 in Nebraska. The amazing part of this stat is that out of all of Hillary's wins, just two of the margins have been above 18. One was her former home state of Arkansas. If this keeps up, March 4 could become Obama's coronation.