Wednesday, February 13, 2008

Add Maryland and DC -- and Wisconsin too?

Add to Virginia his wins in Maryland and DC (he won 75 percent of the District) and, while not as intrinsically valuable as the Virginia win, with those wins Obama now sits authoritatively in the driver's seat. He now has more delegates than Clinton (1,210 to 1,188, admittedly an insignificant difference) and is going into Wisconsin on the 19th. Though Clinton has a solid base of supporters, Wisconsin has a lot of college students, progressives and upper-income independents who support him and can chip away at Clinton's base.

As Brian has stated in an earlier post, Obama has succeeded where he has campaigned. If that pattern holds true in Wisconsin, then Obama will come out on top in the cheese state. He has had a longer presence in Wisconsin, and his support is strong. The UW-Madison chapter of Students for Obama is one of the largest in the nation and Obama has the support of state party dignitaries such as Gov. Doyle, the mayor of Milwaukee, Rep. David Obey (a former Edwards supporter) and 16 state legislators. Add to that Clinton's association with the NAFTA, which damages her reputation in the eastern part of the state hit, and Obama may be in line to get a significant number of the 74 delegates up for grabs on February 19.

No comments: